Sunday, 12 July 2015

2011 Euro redux -

We may be heading for another case of can kicking but it is worth remarking on how far the can has already been kicked. I was looking through pieces I had written back in 2011 on the Macro Man blog as Eurocrisis Part 1 was kicking off and I was struck by just how apt some of those posts are today as they were then. Merkel and Germany were getting just as much flack for intransigence as they are today.

So here are three pieces I wrote back then that are worth resurrecting

First Tennyson's 'Charge of the Light Brigade'

The Charge of the Euro Brigade.
First published here Oct 2011

Half a year, half a year ,
  Half a year onward,
All in the valley of Debt
  Rode the unfunded
'Forward, the Euro Brigade!
Charge for the loans they said:
Into the valley of Debt
  Rode the unfunded

'Forward, the Euro Brigade!'
Was there a bond unpayed?
Not tho' the Eurocrats knew
  Some one had blunder'd:
Theirs not to make reply,
Theirs not to reason why,
Theirs but to do or die:
Into the valley of Debt
  Rode the unfunded

Spending to the right of them,
Spending to the left of them,
Spending in front of them
  Follied and blunder'd;
Storm'd at, all rushing to sell,
Boldly they bought and well,
Into the jaws of Debt,
Into the mouth of Hell
  Rode the unfunded

Flash'd all their policies bare,
Flash'd as they turned into air
Shattering the investors there,
Meetings and summits while
  All the world wonder'd:
With policy of mirrors and smoke
the global economy they broke;
Chinese and Russian
Reel'd from a rate cutting-stroke
Shatter'd and sunder'd.
Then they rode back, but not
Not the unfunded

Selling to right of them,
Selling to left of them,
Selling behind them
  Follied and Blundered
Storm'd at, all shot up to hell,
While investors continued to sell,
They that had bought so well
Came thro' the jaws of Debt
Back from the mouth of Hell,
All that was left of them,
  Left and unfunded

When can their story fade?
O the wild charges they made!
  All the world wonder'd.
Honour the blunders they made?
Honour the Euro Brigade?
  Forever unfunded!


And looking back at this take on Sinatra's 'Lady is a tramp" with regards to the German Chancellor

That's why the Lady is a Tramp -
First published here Oct 2011

She gets impatient, over the Greek debate
She'll never rescue, lazy people she hates
She loves to tighten, just don't do it late
That's why the lady is a tramp

Won't go to Athens, there's nothing to see
Doesn't like crap games, with the ECB
Won't compromise, with the FDP
That's why the lady is a tramp

She loves the free, free Germany
Export ecstasy
PIIGS broke, but it's "OKE"
Distrusts the French, they're not in her camp
That's why the lady is a tramp

Doesn't like dice games, with the Finns or the Nords
Rides in Mercedes, not Seats or Fords
Will dish the dirt, wont sign the accords
That's why the lady is a tramp


And finally back to Tennyson, Merkel as the 'Lady of Shalott',

The Lady who Shall Not.
First published here Oct 2011

On either side of Europe lie
Yields on bonds that reach new high,
All up on "risk", not CPI,
And all pray for a bailout by
The place that just won't spend a lot.
And up and down the people go,
Gazing where the credits blow
Yet hope a lead the Germans show
So please don't say "shall-not".

Knuckles whiten, lips a quiver
Little rumours dance and shiver
Through the markets, run for ever
About the union they may sever
Will they please just spend a lot
Four bust nations yet o'er all towers
Committee rule that lost its powers,
Yet up against this mess now cowers
The Lady who "Shall not"

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