Polemic's Pains

Wednesday, 23 December 2015

That's a wrap.

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So here were some calls I put out last year for 2015. And it's time to appraise. - Trends in equities and bonds will end. This is t...
1 comment:
Friday, 4 December 2015

Nobody expects - ECB more dorkish than expected.

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The ECB has added yet another positive data sample to support the theory that the most profitable trade of 2015 is to fade market expectat...
Wednesday, 2 December 2015

The Pitch - ‘FiX Up’

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The Pitch for working title ‘FiX Up’ After seeing the age of the criminals who pulled off the record breaking Hatton Garden vault heist an...
18 comments:
Tuesday, 1 December 2015

I just don't Noah.

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Apparently the next two weeks in markets are going to be the most important since Noah predicted the flood crisis. Thinking about Noah for a...
Wednesday, 18 November 2015

Swarm Economics

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Whilst a lot of attention has been paid today to the BoAML fund manager survey my attention was more drawn to their lesser mentioned small ...
Monday, 16 November 2015

When in Doubt do Nowt.

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The plethora of news headlines ending ‘as/because of Paris attacks’ is hugely infuriating. The best one must have been the The UK Sunday ...
2 comments:

Not a Happy Christmas for Bank Employees.

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First please forgive me for not commenting on the terrible events in Paris, nor offering any solution. My horror and sympathies are total an...
1 comment:
Thursday, 29 October 2015

Market post FOMC

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The FOMC once again managed to surprise the markets. This time by being a bit more hawkish than expected. This fit in with the feeling I’v...
2 comments:
Tuesday, 27 October 2015

The markets are pricing the medicine, not a cure.

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Since the Fed no hike decision and the ECB 'likely cut' press conference, it is looking as though markets are pricing interest rate...
4 comments:
Sunday, 25 October 2015

First wave New Paradigmers rarely win.

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Cor blimey governor. That’s a cool $4 trillion added to the world's stock market values in the last four weeks. I must thank @Groditi fo...
Friday, 23 October 2015

Nobody expects any ECB action

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One thing that we should have learned over the past few years is that that expecting central bank action is like expecting the Spanish Inqui...

No liquidity? More fool you.

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There is a lot of concern that liquidity in some markets is so dire it could lead to some serious meltdowns. Eyes have been on High Yield vi...
Wednesday, 21 October 2015

QE card - That'll do nicely

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QE - Nice idea but the whole process was like trickling water down a pile of sand, most of it got lost on the way down the slope due to see...
3 comments:
Friday, 16 October 2015

Just the 'J' word

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There is a word that has the same effect upon me as a taser. Well, let's be honest here, I haven't actually been tasered, though I d...
2 comments:
Tuesday, 13 October 2015

A SPX oddity - Fortress style

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“2001 - a  SPX Oddity" grew to become the David Bowie song a 'SPX oddity' But it is all the more pertinent with a Mr Mike Novog...
1 comment:

A very public rollover

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It started with oil It bled into commodity types and FTSE. The US meantime tried to fight it with volatility also having a...
4 comments:
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