Polemic's Pains

Thursday, 29 October 2015

Market post FOMC

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The FOMC once again managed to surprise the markets. This time by being a bit more hawkish than expected. This fit in with the feeling I’v...
2 comments:
Tuesday, 27 October 2015

The markets are pricing the medicine, not a cure.

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Since the Fed no hike decision and the ECB 'likely cut' press conference, it is looking as though markets are pricing interest rate...
4 comments:
Sunday, 25 October 2015

First wave New Paradigmers rarely win.

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Cor blimey governor. That’s a cool $4 trillion added to the world's stock market values in the last four weeks. I must thank @Groditi fo...
Friday, 23 October 2015

Nobody expects any ECB action

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One thing that we should have learned over the past few years is that that expecting central bank action is like expecting the Spanish Inqui...

No liquidity? More fool you.

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There is a lot of concern that liquidity in some markets is so dire it could lead to some serious meltdowns. Eyes have been on High Yield vi...
Wednesday, 21 October 2015

QE card - That'll do nicely

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QE - Nice idea but the whole process was like trickling water down a pile of sand, most of it got lost on the way down the slope due to see...
3 comments:
Friday, 16 October 2015

Just the 'J' word

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There is a word that has the same effect upon me as a taser. Well, let's be honest here, I haven't actually been tasered, though I d...
2 comments:
Tuesday, 13 October 2015

A SPX oddity - Fortress style

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“2001 - a  SPX Oddity" grew to become the David Bowie song a 'SPX oddity' But it is all the more pertinent with a Mr Mike Novog...
1 comment:

A very public rollover

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It started with oil It bled into commodity types and FTSE. The US meantime tried to fight it with volatility also having a...
4 comments:
Saturday, 10 October 2015

The Crouching Polemic

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Last Thursday's market close was of interest to me. If we look at the SPX ( but any major index would do) we had an explosive lift off t...
5 comments:
Wednesday, 7 October 2015

The Battle of 1995.

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Continuing from yesterday's post on 'Pain in the Hedge’ there have been lots of blow outs of popular shorts and as expected oil thin...
2 comments:
Monday, 5 October 2015

Pain in the hedge?

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When I hear long term reasons for short term positions being rolled out as long term reasons for hopefully short term positions that finally...
2 comments:
Sunday, 4 October 2015

Are you so wrong it hurts or have you just tweaked your base case?

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Are you so wrong it hurts? Or were you just so so right with your Fed and NFP calls? As regular readers will have surmised I am a huge ...
1 comment:
Friday, 2 October 2015

NFP guess generator.

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It's that time of the month again when reasoned thought is replaced with illogical emotional outbursts and shouting and tears. Where h...
Tuesday, 29 September 2015

A meandering of thoughts

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I have been travelling to places where the real world appears a million miles away, where legions of white shirted chino clad lackeys are t...
2 comments:
Tuesday, 22 September 2015

Car company LIBOR

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The fixing of emissions by VW strikes me as comparable to bank fixing scandals.   The rules were in place but, as with any regulation,...
7 comments:
Thursday, 17 September 2015

Good. That's out of the way.

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Opinion is split over the Fed decision though I would suggest the split is not even.  My first thoughts were - - If the Fed wer...
8 comments:

Fed day - Only worry about things you can change.

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Okokokokok I’ll play. It’s a bit like going along to a sports event that you have no interest in just because all your friends are going....
Tuesday, 15 September 2015

Admiring the landscape.

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I’m back from two weeks of bliss on a boat. The holiday was disaster free and ranks as one of the best ever. Croatia is a dream and remarkab...
10 comments:
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