Polemic's Pains

Thursday, 29 January 2015

Greece turns Singaporean after divorcing EU for a Russian.

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Greece could end up better off divorced from the EU if they play it along the time honoured lines employed in manipulative relationships th...
8 comments:
Wednesday, 28 January 2015

10 Topical Questions

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Time for a lighthearted quiz - How many financial journalists does it take a network to cover a Greek election? a) 1. To interview an ...
6 comments:
Monday, 26 January 2015

Greece's Political Bargaining Chips.

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So we have had the EUQE and the Greek Election. There appears to be a huge sense of disappointment from the economic editors of the non-fi...
6 comments:
Thursday, 22 January 2015

Three Bells in a Row and Euphoric Highs.

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At last we have a full set, the global slot machine has finally hit the three bells in a row jackpot payout. The BoJ, Fed and now ECB have...

A Chocolate Based Solution to National Debt

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I have just received the most baffling email, which has left me unsure as to how to respond. Is this the latest attempt by some bot (thoug...
Monday, 19 January 2015

Swiss i-flation and the absurdities of negative rates.

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The Swiss National Bank has managed in one fell swoop to conjure up deflationary pressures beyond the worst fears of the ECB. A 20% currency...
Thursday, 15 January 2015

Trust Me, I’m a Swiss Central Banker.

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One trade structure I have always liked is the peg break trade. I first deployed it in 1997 with the Thai Baht. It is fairly simple and in...
10 comments:
Wednesday, 14 January 2015

Chainsaws at the trunk.

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The greatest risk to the most blindingly obvious of trades is when the base of the trunk from which all those implied and correlated trade...
1 comment:
Thursday, 8 January 2015

Europe - Stormy Weather Clearing

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Today's Uk weather forecast could be applied to how I feel about Europe. "Today's stormy weather will clear to the east bringi...
Tuesday, 6 January 2015

2015 - The year of the whip for markets but also index funds.

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One of the most notable things about 2014 was the demise of the macro funds at the expense of the index tracker. But 2015 feels as though...
6 comments:

Let the slaughter begin.

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I was thinking that the start of the year butchery was going to be along the lines of sacred ritual with the sacrificial victim soberly par...
2 comments:
Monday, 29 December 2014

Europe - Dawn of the Dead or a Bad Ghost Train?

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The trading background -  We are in the last couple of days of the year where funds are most unlikely to do anything. First, because the...
3 comments:
Thursday, 18 December 2014

Financial Twitter Templates

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With Christmas coming up this may well be my last post for a while as I get down to some serious not doing anything. But before I go, I thou...
2 comments:
Wednesday, 17 December 2014

If I Were a Russian Leader

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If I were a very proud Russian leader I would default on all non-ruble debt. Or at least threaten to do so. Who's it going to hurt? Onl...
2 comments:
Tuesday, 16 December 2014

In the Bleak Midwinter

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In the bleak midwinter In the bleak midwinter, investors gripe and moan, Oil and stocks and yield sank, faster than a stone; Ruble had...
2 comments:
Saturday, 13 December 2014

Falling Oil - The New Banker for Blame.

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There is always one. The poor sod who takes the wrap for everything. In the case of the 2008 global crash it was bankers and in the case of...
1 comment:
Friday, 12 December 2014

Oil Supply and Demand - The Bauhaus Chair Model .

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Oil. It's all supply and demand isn't it. Yes it is and of course when we talk about supply and demand economics 1.0.1. supply and ...
Wednesday, 10 December 2014

Market Cycle Crash

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Well it’s all going much as expected. 2014 has been another year of tail chasing with most macro and discretionary traders finding it hard...
2 comments:
Tuesday, 9 December 2014

'Twas The Night Before Christmas - Markets Style

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'Twas the night before Christmas, when all through the house Not a keyboard was stirring, not even a mouse. The portfolio stocks were ...
4 comments:
Sunday, 7 December 2014

ABS From Me to the ECB

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Well I read the events of last Thursday very wrong. By the end of the day there was nothing to make me think that Europe was a better pla...
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